Original Summary

AFP / The two candidates leading in the polls are Luíz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro Brazilians are voting on Sunday in a general election in which the two front-runners for the presidency bear very familiar names. The incumbent, veteran left-wing leader Luíz Inácio Lula da Silva, will be challenged by 11 candidates, the most prominent of whom is right-winger Flávio Bolsonaro. In the last election four years ago, Lula narrowly defeated Flávio Bolsonaro's father Jair, but the tumultuous aftermath of the election, which saw Jair Bolsonaro convicted of plotting a coup after thousands of his supporters stormed the Brazilian Congress, has had a lasting impact on the nation's political life and this election. Here's what you need to know. The man not on the ballot Nelson ALMEIDA / AFP via Getty Images / At the launch of his campaign, Flávio Bolsonaro screened a video in which an AI-generated image of his father endorsed his candidacy Jair Bolsonaro, the right-wing former army captain who governed Brazil from 2019 to 2023, will not be running for president in this election. Not only is the 71-year-old barred from standing for office, he is also serving a 27-year sentence for plotting a coup after he lost the 2022 election to Lula. Due to recurrent health problems, he is currently under house arrest rather than in a cell, but he has had restrictions imposed on him prohibiting him from posting on social media or making public statements. Despite these restrictions, his shadow - and sometimes his moving and talking image - looms large over this election. At the event where Flávio Bolsonaro officially launched his presidential campaign, an AI-generated avatar of Jair Bolsonaro endorsed his son's candidacy. When pressed by the Supreme Court about the deepfake, Jair Bolsonaro's lawyers may have denied he had given his permission for its use, but there is nevertheless little doubt that Flávio Bolsonaro has the backing of his father. What do the polls say? While there are 12 candidates running for the presidency, there are only two who have reached double figures in the opinion polls, and they are Luíz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. BBC Brasil's poll tracker shows them both hovering around the 40% mark, with Lula slightly ahead of Bolsonaro. The other 11 candidates are polling at 4% or less. If none of the candidates gains 50% of valid votes in the first round on 4 October, the top two contenders will proceed to a run-off election on 25 October. The opinion polls suggest a run-off is highly likely - but with a relatively high number of voters still undecided just days before the election, an outright win cannot be entirely ruled out. BBC Brasil's poll aggregator suggests that at the end of September, 9% of voters were either still undecided, or planning to spoil their ballot, cast a blank ballot or not go to the polls at all. Brazilians who are 16 years of age or older are entitled to vote and it is compulsory for those aged between 18 and 70 who are literate, with a fine imposed on those who do not cast a ballot. Almost 160 million Brazilians are eligible to vote in this election and, with polls typically surveying just thousands of people, the end result can differ considerably from the indications given by surveys. What does Lula stand for? Olga Fedorova/EPA/Shutterstock / In his speech to the United Nations General Assembly, Lula stressed his country's sovereignty Lula, the 80-year-old candidate for the left-wing Workers' Party, has been president three times already. He served two consecutive terms - from January 2003 to December 2010 - and was widely praised for lifting millions out of poverty during this time with the help of a cash-transfer programme called Bolsa Família. The former metalworker left office with record approval ratings of over 80%, but his party was later rocked by huge corruption scandals. Lula himself spent more than 18 months in prison between 2018 and 2019 after being convicted of corruption and money laundering, charges he has always denied. Those convictions were annulled in 2021, leaving Lula free to run for the presidency in the 2022 election, in which he beat Jair Bolsonaro by 1.8 percentage points. When he started his third term in office, he vowed it would be his last, and yet his party endorsed him as their candidate again this year, even though he will turn 81 later this month. There is no doubt he remains a towering figure in the left. But while his supporters described him ahead of the 2022 election as the "saviour of the Amazon", praising his commitment to protecting the rainforest, some environmentalists have been critical of some of his recent actions. His support for exploratory oil drilling in offshore waters near the mouth of the Amazon in particular has drawn criticism. Lula insists that he remains committed to eventually phasing out fossil fuels and argues that oil revenues are key to financing Brazil's transition to clean energy. His government has also pointed to the reduction in deforestation in the Amazon - satellite data suggests the area deforested in the first half of 2026 was reduced to its lowest in the past decade - as proof that its policies were working. During Lula's latest term in office, relations with his US counterpart Donald Trump have been rocky. Referring to what Trump has dubbed the "Donroe doctrine" - his administration's national security strategy which asserts that US dominance in the Western hemisphere should not be interfered with - Lula has insisted that "Brazil does not fit into anyone's backyard". In another thinly veiled reference to both his rival Flávio Bolsonaro and those in the Trump administration who would like to see the right-wing candidate win, the Brazilian leader has also warned that he would not tolerate "foreign and local enemies of democracy" interfering with the polls. What is Bolsonaro promising? Adriano Machado/Reuters / Flávio Bolsonaro has been courting his father's supporters Flávio

中文概览

中文标题： 巴西大选须知：卢拉对阵弗拉维奥·博索纳罗

巴西周日举行大选，民调领先者为左翼劳工党候选人卢拉与右翼候选人弗拉维奥·博索纳罗。前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗因策划政变被判27年且被禁止参选，目前软禁，但其影响仍大，甚至出现AI生成形象助选。民调显示卢拉和弗拉维奥约40%，其他候选人不超过4%；若无人首轮获50%有效票，将于10月25日举行第二轮。约1.6亿合格选民。

  • 情报分类：综合情报
  • 分类依据：巴西选举与政治新闻，不属技术、职业、商业、项目、服务器或硬件，归综合。
  • 信息来源：英语新闻 / BBC News Top Stories
  • 发布时间：2026/10/4 12:53:29