I trade prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi. The trades that hurt weren't the ones where I read the world wrong. They were the ones where I read the resolution criteria wrong. A market asks "will X happen by date Y" and it looks obvious. Then it turns out resolution depends on a specific body publishing a specific notice, not on the thing actually happening. You were right about reality and still lost. So I built Market Guy: https://www.market-guy.com What it does: Pulls live prices, volume and orderbook data from Polymarket and Kalshi in one screener Runs a research pass across web sources and links every claim back to where it came from, so you can check it instead of trusting it Puts its own probability estimate next to the market-implied price Flags ambiguous or u

  • 情报分类：商业价值、项目价值
  • 命中依据：预测市场研究工具，商业与产品结合
  • 来源：Reddit · SideProject
  • 原作者：/u/Bitter-Shower-713 https://www.reddit.com/user/Bitter-Shower-713
  • 发布时间：2026/9/11 00:08:59