Original Summary

Montana passed a law called SB535. It builds on right-to-try (pre-approval access with informed consent, Phase 1 safety data etc.) but goes much further, fixing problems with those laws.<p>Alex Tabarrok called it &quot;the most important regulatory innovation in drug approval in my lifetime&quot; (https:&#x2F;&#x2F;marginalrevolution.com&#x2F;marginalrevolution&#x2F;2026&#x2F;06&#x2F;montanas-sb535-and-a-potential-biotech-renaissance-in-america.html). Was posted here but died in &#x2F;new (https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=48559525). The mods suggested this post.<p>I contributed ideas to the law and am now implementing it through my company. I invested in biotech for years and watched companies struggle. I built the biotech ecosystem in Prospera as an alternative, concluded it was too early, and now think Montana is the best place to prove this.<p><i>Why this exists:</i> When FDA approves a bad drug, heads roll. When it delays a good one, the deaths are statistical and nobody gets blamed (&quot;invisible graveyard&quot;). So the incentive is overcaution, which is why the cost per approved drug has roughly doubled every 9 years for decades (&quot;Eroom&#x27;s Law&quot;). Founders are in the &quot;Valley of Death&quot; around Phase 1: grants are no longer available, and commercial money wants assurance the drug will pass the next trial. Only ~10% of post-Phase 1 drugs get approved, but 68% of failed trials don’t stop because they found lack of safety or efficacy but commercial reasons (Williams et al., PLOS ONE 2015). Federal Right to Try and Expanded Access haven&#x27;t fixed this. Federal reform is super-hard.<p><i>What Montana allows:</i> A physician can give an experimental treatment outside a trial if: it completed FDA Phase 1 under an active IND; a state-registered private review board (ETRB) approved the protocol; it&#x27;s delivered at a state-licensed clinic; consent exceeds the federal standard &amp; adverse events need to be reported. The key is: sponsors and clinics can charge.<p><i>Why this time it&#x27;s different:</i> The risk-reward ratio is what&#x27;s broken. Right to Try and Expanded Access don&#x27;t let sponsors charge, so treating a patient is risk plus expense. Montana is the first state law where sponsors of IND-stage drugs can price in that risk. Trial recruitment today is a price-control system: per-patient cost is around $50-100k, typically has a ceiling upward on what it can pay patients (&quot;undue inducement&quot;) and a floor downward (no profit, only at cost in RTT &#x2F; EA). Montana removes both (I know this will lead to lots of debate, let’s have it.)<p>So this is not a free for all, the additional liberties come with tough oversight. An ETRB is Montana&#x27;s version of an IRB: safety review, consent, mandatory outcome reporting, and you can&#x27;t withhold safety information from patients. That’s the truth-funding mechanism.<p><i>What companies can do now:</i> If you have a Phase 1 asset stuck in the Valley of Death: treat patients, negotiate payment, get real-world data, use it to sharpen your Phase 2&#x2F;3 design.<p>Disclosure: my company formed the first ETRB. The model is review fees, like an IRB; no equity in applicants, no payment by outcome; COI policy and board bios public; decision letters published with applicant consent; annual outcome report required.<p>Objections:<p>- Someone gets hurt? Same as trials and ordinary care: US legal system, legal recourse.<p>- FDA shuts it down? They haven&#x27;t said they won&#x27;t, but historically FDA goes after grey-market clinics, not state laws; we&#x27;re asking for safe harbor, but some companies aren&#x27;t waiting.<p>- Snake oil? Bad actors want to fly under the radar, and Montana makes that hard.<p><i>What&#x27;s needed:</i> Biotechs with Phase 1+ assets willing to move before full FDA assurance, to build the evidence that gets the agency on board - the point is not to skip FDA, but to reduce the cost of data. And ex-FDA reviewers, IND operators, IRB members telling us where this breaks.<p>Happy to answer anything.


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  • 发布时间:2026/9/17 02:43:57