Original Summary

I was curious to see if the ai boom is similar to the dotcom bubble, and if yes where we currently are so I built a page that just tries to answer it. It lines up the AI boom against the dot-com bubble (ChatGPT launch = Netscape IPO, Fed hike = Fed hike) and tracks six things that happened before the 2000 crash – which ones have happened again, which are building, which haven&#x27;t.<p>Interestingly, after the Fed&#x27;s first hike in June 1999, the Nasdaq went up another 88% before it dropped 78%. So &quot;it&#x27;s 1999&quot; doesn&#x27;t mean &quot;sell&quot;, it means the crazy part might still be ahead.<p>Obvious weak spots: ChatGPT = Netscape was the choice of my AI you can argue for a different anchor. And the &quot;peak ~7 months after first hike&quot; is a median of five similar bubbles, two of which actually peaked before the hike. It&#x27;s on the page.<p>Full disclosure, I built this with Claude and the weekly judgments + forecasts are made by it, with sources. The forecasts are dated so we&#x27;ll see how wrong it was. trying to leverage the model intelligence for it.<p>Curious what you take from it in the first few seconds, and where you think the comparison falls apart.

  • 情报分类：硬件与数码
  • 分类依据：内容涉及硬件、数码产品或通信卡
  • 信息来源：Hacker News 新项目
  • 发布时间：2026/10/1 20:12:35